基于模糊双矩阵对策的作战效能评估模型

讨论了策略集清晰、支付值模糊的模糊双矩阵对策的一种求解方法，并以某型导弹混编群对抗ARM（反辐射导弹）及载机为案例进行研究，建立了基于模糊双矩阵对策的作战效能评估模型，研究结果对于双方资源分配，提高作战效能具有一定的军事应用价值。     

潜艇鱼雷攻击可攻区域

攻击水面舰艇是潜艇的主要作战任务之一.潜艇发现目标后,对目标进行可攻区域的分析判断是潜艇后续占位攻击行动的基础和前提.以潜艇鱼雷攻击为背景,通过对鱼雷有效射击区域和鱼雷攻击可攻性的分析研究,得出潜艇鱼雷攻击极限攻击角和与之相对应的可攻区域,为潜艇鱼雷攻击的占位机动和火控系统仿真建模提供了参考依据,完善了潜艇鱼雷攻击作战使用理论.     

析行政法的平衡论

从行政立法、行政执法、权力手段的淡化、行政救济制度的出现等方面论述了平衡论是现代行政法的精义 ,并阐明了以平衡论指导行政法的重大意义及如何正确、全面看待平衡论。     

舰船腐蚀电场建模及补偿最优解验证

基于等效偶极子法,从补偿偶极子长度、角度、大小三方面给出了任意角度的补偿偶极子场解析式,再利用电荷矢量叠加原理,建立了"腐蚀偶极子+补偿偶极子"电场模型。仿真以单轴桨船为例,先验证"腐蚀偶极子+补偿偶极子"电场模型的正确性,再进行补偿偶极子对舰船电场的影响验证,从而得出补偿最优解。模拟实验结果表明,补偿阳极在工程允许条件下距离补偿系统接船端最远处,且补偿系统平行于水平面和船体时补偿效果最优;在补偿最优条件下,理论上是可以抵消原舰船腐蚀电场的。     

一种基于证据间距离和信息熵的证据组合方法?

针对改进的基于证据间距离的组合方法，首先计算证据间距离并求出各个证据的支持度和可信度，选取支持度高的作为较可信证据，其次引入证据信息熵，计算修正系数，对这些证据的可信度进行修正，将可信度作为权重，进行证据的加权平均，再利用Dempster组合规则对所有证据进行融合。算例表明，该方法比现有的方法更加有效。     

Prospect theory and foreign policy decision-making: Underexposed issues,advancements, and ways forward

How much mileage can we get out of prospect theory to explain foreign policy decision-making? To answer this question, we first argue that risk as outcome uncertainty is the appropriate definition in prospect-theoretical applications. Then, we indicate that probability weighting—a crucial component of prospect theory—is typically ignored in such applications. We argue why this is problematic and suggest how to move forward. Next, we discuss how to establish the reference point in the face of outcomes in multiple dimensions, as is typically the case in foreign policy decision-making. Finally, we discuss what we have learnt regarding prospect theory’s scope conditions and the differences across individuals in the theory’s applicability. Overall, our contribution lies in identifying several underexposed or neglected issues (e.g., the definition of risk and probability weighting), in examining the advancements regarding prospect theory’s scope conditions, and in discussing avenues for further research.     

相控阵雷达维修方案优选方法研究

针对相控阵雷达维修方案的选择问题,确定了维修方案的决策属性,并提出一种基于改进TOPSIS法的相控阵雷达维修方案优选方法。该方法通过引入Vague集来处理维修方案选择中存在的模糊信息,并采用博弈论综合赋权法来确定决策属性的综合权重。通过计算各备选方案与正、负理想方案的灰色关联度,得到了维修方案的灰色关联相对贴近度,进而实现对维修方案的排序和选择。最后,通过算例应用与分析,对提出的方法进行了验证。     

采用3电平非均匀量化的脉冲编码策略

作为全数字发信机系统中广泛应用的一种脉冲编码技术,Delta-Sigma调制(Delta-Sigma Modulation, DSM)通过增加量化电平,能够实现调制性能的提升。但限于全数字发信机系统开关功放的具体结构,多电平DSM序列无法直接驱动后级功放电路。在传统3电平DSM基础上,通过引入面积等效原理和非均匀量化技术,提出了适用于开关功放的一种新的脉冲编码策略。理论分析和仿真结果表明,相比常规2电平DSM序列,采用该策略获得的调制脉冲序列具有更优的带内SNR和编码效率性能。     

Hybrid warfare through the lens of strategic theory

Hybrid warfare is the latest of the terms/concepts that have been used within the defence community in the last three decades to label contemporary warfare. It has been officially adopted in the core strategic documents of NATO, EU and national governments and has already inspired many articles, policy papers and books; however, this paper is unique in the sense that it analysis the hybrid warfare concept through the lens of strategic theory. It is argued that hybrid warfare does not merit the adoption as a doctrinal concept. Strategic theory instead, which lies at the nexus of all dimensions of warfare, provides a better viewpoint to approach contemporary warfare. It concludes that efforts should be directed towards exploring warfare under the light of eternal principles instead of proving the emergence of new types of warfare.     

Zr基块体非晶合金屈服行为及屈服准则研究

为了明确块体非晶合金屈服行为与屈服准则的关系,对非晶合金屈服强度间相互关系以及试验中拉伸和压缩断裂面与最大剪应力作用的45°倾斜面的偏离角度进行分析,应用滑移线间断场理论和Mises屈服条件计算出拉伸颈缩断裂面与载荷轴夹角和块体非晶合金实验结果的一致性,利用Coulomb屈服条件计算出的单轴压缩断裂面倾斜角与实验结果相吻合,确定块体非晶合金在不同应力状态下遵循不同的屈服准则:在拉伸条件下该块体非晶合金遵循Mises屈服准则;在压缩条件下遵循Coulomb屈服准则。